BJP’s advantage in Punjab
The BJP broke its alliance with the Shiromani Akali Dal over three agriculture laws in Punjab. For this reason, the BJP is being branded as anti-farmer. The BJP is left alone in Punjab. After splitting from the Congress, Capt Amarinder Singh hinted at an alliance with the BJP. But the condition was to withdraw three agriculture laws. The BJP wants to regain its lost land in Punjab. If we look at the political situation of the BJP in the last three Assembly elections, it is showing a gradual decline. The Shiromani Akali Dal has been gaining ground in the alliance but the BJP has always been at a disadvantage. In the distribution of seats, the BJP has won only 23 out of 70 seats in the last three elections. In 2007, the BJP demonstrated its better strike rate by winning 19 out of 23 seats. In 2012, the BJP lost 12 seats. In 2017, the performance worsened, reducing the number of MLAs to three. That is, in 15 years, the BJP went from 19th to 3rd. Now the BJP will enter a new era in Punjab with the new Amarinder Singh. The BJP will get a strong ally in the form of Amarinder Singh from which it can reshape its innings in Punjab. In Punjab, ‘Kisan’ is the biggest issue and BJP has played a ‘reverse sweep’ on this issue.
Impact of the decision on Uttar Pradesh
The decision to withdraw the three tree laws will have the biggest impact on Uttar Pradesh. The peasant movement, which had shaken the regularity of Yogi Adityanath, is now expected to find an edge. Western Uttar Pradesh is a Jat-majority area. There are a total of 71 assembly seats in 15 districts of the region. Here the Jat farmers are in a decisive position. In the 2017 Assembly elections, the BJP won 51 of the 71 seats. That is, the farmers voted unilaterally in favor of the BJP. But in September 2020, when the Modi government enacted three agriculture laws, the farmers here started protesting. A big peasant movement started under the leadership of Rakesh Tikait. Farmers who voted for the BJP have taken to the streets against the government’s decision. The BJP was in danger of losing a large vote bank. Because the farmers were opposing only three agricultural laws. So when these laws do not exist, there will be no resentment for them. Large population of Sikh community in Lakhimpur Kheri, Pilibhit area is engaged in agriculture. Attempts have been made to heal the wounds of Guru Nanak Dev ji by bringing back agricultural laws on his birth anniversary.
Try changing the image
When the farmers’ agitation against the three agriculture laws started, Amit Shah had said that these laws had been passed by Parliament and would never be withdrawn. After this Narendra Modi was called arrogant and dictatorial. He was also being branded as anti-farmer. But now with the withdrawal of agriculture laws, Narendra Modi has presented himself as a flexible and sensitive politician. The decision is being hailed as a victory for the farmers and a defeat for the government. But even Narendra Modi has taken this risk to change his image. It is generally accepted that he is not a leader who backs down after making a decision. But he has given the message that he can reconsider his decision in the public interest. This is the new face of Narendra Modi. Obviously, he did all this to increase his acceptance. His U-turn has ruined the Congress game plan in Uttar Pradesh and Punjab. In the Assembly elections, the Congress had planned to pay the peasant movement in its favor. But now the plan seems to be floating around.