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With BBC News Hindi

Updated: Thursday, November 25, 2021, 14:02 [IST]

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<p>"Rahul ji is a very good man. He is also a very good boy. He should come and live in Uttar Pradesh more. If someone comes to Uttar Pradesh more then we will be friends with him. What's wrong?</p>   <p><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oThUlqezXhA" rel="nofollow">This is the year 2017</a>, Samajwadi Party leader Akhilesh Yadav had said this for the then Congress leader Rahul Gandhi.  Then the slogan 'UP Ko Yeh Saath Pasandh Hai' was given.</p>  <p>After the statement, the Akhilesh-Rahul duo were dubbed 'boys of UP'.</p>  <p>In the early days of 2017, the friendship between the two went well but after the election results it came to a distance.  The Samajwadi Party did not even cross the 50-seat mark in that assembly election.</p> <p>Elections are coming up again in Uttar Pradesh.  And Akhilesh Yadav is looking for a new partner.</p> <p>It is rumored that Akhilesh and Jayant will be seen together in this Assembly elections.  Although a formal announcement is yet to be made, the two leaders tweeted a picture together, adding fuel to the fire of the alliance.</p>   <p>If that happens then the change will be that Akhilesh Yadav will now play the role of 'big boy' instead of 'little boy'.  Even in the 'older' age and in the case of 'distribution of seats' in the alliance.</p> <p>Also read: <a href="https://www.bbc.com/hindi/india-58982617?xtor=AL-73-[partner]-[oneindia.com]-https://hindi.oneindia.com/news/india/uttar-pradesh-election-what-akhilesh-yadav-and-jayant-chaudhary-situation-650214.html-[hindi]-[bizdev]-[isapi]" rel="nofollow">Only Union government has to abide by agriculture law, farmers will not abide by: Satya Pal Malik</a></p>  <p>The question now is what will be the success of the Samajwadi Party and Rashtriya Lok Dal alliance after the Modi government's U-turn on agriculture law?</p>  <p>Will it benefit Akhilesh Yadav and the Samajwadi Party and will it hurt the BJP?</p> <p>Samajwadi Party leader and Lucknow University professor Dr.  Sudhir Panwar believes that farmers are at the heart of the politics of both the Rashtriya Lok Dal and the Samajwadi Party.  Thus both are 'natural alliance partners'.</p> <p>He told the BBC: "In politics, alliances are formed for profit only. But it is not that the alliance between the Samajwadi Party and the RLD was due to the peasant movement. That he could not be so successful.</p> <p>Therefore, it would be wrong to say that she wanted to form an alliance with the SP because of her opposition to the Agriculture Act.  This alliance will benefit both the parties.  ,</p> <p>Also read: <a href="https://www.bbc.com/hindi/india-55129102?xtor=AL-73-[partner]-[oneindia.com]-https://hindi.oneindia.com/news/india/uttar-pradesh-election-what-akhilesh-yadav-and-jayant-chaudhary-situation-650214.html-[hindi]-[bizdev]-[isapi]" rel="nofollow">Kisan Andolan: Why Modi government did not accept demand on MSP?</a></p>  <p>It is also pertinent to mention here that there was never any alliance between the Samajwadi Party and the RLD before the 2017 Assembly elections.</p> <p>His candidate won one seat in the 2017 election.</p> <p>The RLD did its best in the 2002 Assembly elections, when it formed an alliance with the BJP and won 14 seats.</p> <p>Then in 2007 the RLD decided to contest the elections alone and their candidates won 10 seats.</p> <p>The RLD had contested the 2012 elections with the Congress and won 9 seats.</p> <p>This is Jayant Chaudhary's first election after his father's death, when he is taking all the decisions himself.</p> <p>Despite such a track record, what will Akhilesh achieve by forging an alliance with RLD in western Uttar Pradesh?</p> <p>In response to this question, Dr. Sudhir Panwar says, "This election is an election to create a social equation when the parties which are complementary to each other must be complementary to defeat the BJP."</p> <p>"From 2013 to 2019, the BJP has been successful in communal polarization in western Uttar Pradesh, which has created a gap between the Jats and Muslims in the region. And the BJP has benefited from that. The RLD alliance is close, it will change. "</p>  <p>Therefore, the distribution of seats in the Samajwadi Party-RLD alliance will be very important.</p> <p>Also read: <a href="https://www.bbc.com/hindi/india-58895820?xtor=AL-73-[partner]-[oneindia.com]-https://hindi.oneindia.com/news/india/uttar-pradesh-election-what-akhilesh-yadav-and-jayant-chaudhary-situation-650214.html-[hindi]-[bizdev]-[isapi]" rel="nofollow">Jayant Chaudhary: How much will you save the 'collapsing legacy of fathers' in UP elections?</a></p>  <p>In western Uttar Pradesh, it is estimated that there are about 100 Assembly seats.  (Western Uttar Pradesh has no boundaries due to which the figures may vary)</p> <p>In the 2017 Assembly elections, the BJP won 80 of these seats.  In the 2012 elections, only 38 seats were won.</p> <p>In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP won 18 seats, compared to 23 in 2014.</p> <p>"The story of the BJP in western Uttar Pradesh has changed since the 2013 Muzaffarnagar riots, as the statistics show that this fort in western Uttar Pradesh BJP wins assembly elections in India  Fearing the collapse of Uttar Pradesh, he decided to withdraw the Agriculture Act.</p>  <p>In fact, due to the Agriculture Act, Jat-Muslim unity was seen again in many Mahapanchayats.  The BJP was worried about it. "</p> <p>This concern of the BJP was evident during the visit of Yogi Adityanath to Kairana.  After reaching Kairana, Yogi Adityanath once again raised the issue of 'Hindu march' in his speech.</p> <p>When Sharat Pradhan talks about the return of 'Jat-Hindu unity' in western Uttar Pradesh, he was referring to the Mahapanchayat held at the GIC ground in Muzaffarnagar in January this year, in which Ghulam Mohammad Joula, a close associate of Mahinder Singh Tikait, was present. Was  .</p> <p>It was there that Ghulam Muhammad Joula, who was so distressed after the Muzaffarnagar riots, disassociated himself from the Bhartiya Kisan Union and formed a new organization - the Bhartiya Kisan Mazdoor Manch.  Eight years after those riots, it was a new picture of the return of 'Jat-Muslim unity' in the region.</p>  <p>In western Uttar Pradesh, Muslims make up 32 per cent of the population and Dalits about 18 per cent.  Here Jats are 12 per cent and OBCs are 30 per cent.</p> <p>Sharat Pradhan says that even after the repeal of the Agriculture Act, the influence of Jayant Chaudhary in this area and the Agriculture Act is still an issue.</p> <p>He gives three reasons for this.  First, the Modi government delayed the decision.  That is why farmers are saying that we have taken these decisions from them, the government itself has not withdrawn these laws.  The second is the tragedy of the farmers, which they have endured in this one year.  No matter how happy someone is with a decision, the memory of sadness always stays with them.  Thirdly, there will be a lot of sympathy vote with Jayant this time.  ,</p> <p>Also read: <a href="https://www.bbc.com/hindi/india-59127133?xtor=AL-73-[partner]-[oneindia.com]-https://hindi.oneindia.com/news/india/uttar-pradesh-election-what-akhilesh-yadav-and-jayant-chaudhary-situation-650214.html-[hindi]-[bizdev]-[isapi]" rel="nofollow">Will Akhilesh's SP and Jayant's RLD be able to join hands in UP?</a></p>  <div class="big_center_img" data-cl-cnt="0" data-cnt-t="0" data-gal-src="https://hindi.oneindia.com/img/bbc/2021/11/_121778489_6c4358be-50ff-4d02-8460-f59fde7bf209.jpg"> <div> <figure><img src="https://hindi.oneindia.com/img/bbc/2021/11/_121778489_6c4358be-50ff-4d02-8460-f59fde7bf209.jpg" class="image_listical c4" alt="Jayant Chaudhary and Akhilesh Yadav" title="Jayant Chaudhary and Akhilesh Yadav" data-cl-slideshow="" data-cl-title = "Jayant Chaudhary and Akhilesh Yadav" data-cl-description = "" data-cl-imageid = "650214-0""/> <p>Getty Images</p> </figure> </div> <p>Jayant Chaudhary and Akhilesh Yadav</p> </div>  <p>Senior journalist Anil Chaudhary presents the same thing in a different way.</p>  <p>"Farmers are now even more excited about the Modi government's decision," he said.  He felt that if the movement remained non-violent, his demands would be met by the government.  This is the reason why so many farmers have gathered in the Lucknow panchayat. Even if the government withdraws the agriculture law, the agitation is not over.</p> <p>During the one year period of this agitation, the farmers have sold three crops of paddy, wheat and sugarcane in the market.  The balance of sugarcane was not found and MSP of paddy and wheat was not found.</p> <p>Anil Chaudhary believes that the RLD alliance will benefit the Samajwadi Party.</p> <p>Sanjay Kumar, a professor at the Center for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS), says,  The BJP's support base is gone, but it still represents the Jats.  If Akhilesh and Jayant's party candidates come face to face.  Voters will go back to RLD in the elections. Therefore, Akhilesh wants Jat votes not to be divided in this election and alliance with RLD.</p>  <p>Professor Sanjay Kumar says that various claims are being made regarding the Assembly seats in Western Uttar Pradesh but according to CSDS, the number of Jats in 40-45 seats is very high.  These seats are crucial for the victory or defeat of any party.</p> <p>Also read: <a href="https://www.bbc.com/hindi/india-59217963?xtor=AL-73-[partner]-[oneindia.com]-https://hindi.oneindia.com/news/india/uttar-pradesh-election-what-akhilesh-yadav-and-jayant-chaudhary-situation-650214.html-[hindi]-[bizdev]-[isapi]" rel="nofollow">What is the BJP's 'game plan' for Western UP?</a></p> <p><strong>(You for BBC Hindi's Android app</strong> <a href="https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=uk.co.bbc.hindi" rel="nofollow">Click here</a> <strong>Can do  You tell us</strong> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/bbchindi/" rel="nofollow">Facebook</a> <strong>And</strong> <a href="https://twitter.com/BBCHindi" rel="nofollow">Twitter</a> <strong>You can follow too.)</strong></p> <noscript><img 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